![]() There are five possible outcomes on a block player down, both down, push back, stumble, and pow! The block die has two faces with push back and one face with all of the others, meaning that before modifications every die roll has a 33% chance of coming up with a result that could cause a Turnover. At that point you roll a number of blocking dice depending on the difference in Strength characteristics of you and your opponent. The blocking action requires that you either be adjacent to a target or initiate a blitz to move next to them. The core of any game of Blood Bowl, blocking can easily be one of the riskiest (and most rewarding) moves a player makes. Probability that a scattering ball will land in a given square center is the target. ![]() This also makes the Diving Catch skill extremely useful, as it means a player has a 47% chance of being able to catch an inaccurate pass (and a 17% chance of being able to catch a wildly inaccurate pass, which deviates 1d6 squares from the target). Because the first shift occurs from the center this provides a very interesting result you actually have a better chance of catching a scattered ball if you’re one square away from the target destination. When the ball scatters it randomly jumps one of eight possible directions a total of three times, starting at the intended landing point. The skill checks use the probability from the attribute test section, but what’s particularly interesting is that if the pass fails then there’s still a chance that the receiving player could get the ball. The act of passing is amusingly complicated in Blood Bowl, requiring at least two skill rolls and the possibility of an intermediate player intercepting the ball. Note that the Sprint skill has a 87% chance of success for running three squares with a single re-roll, plus you have the advantage of being able to stop at any time. The math behind this is fairly obnoxious as success is sequential if you fail two rolls in a row the number of re-rolls you have remaining is irrelevant. The exception is if a player should choose to Rush, in which case they have to make a series of 2+ rolls to move 1, 2, or 3 (if they have the Sprint skill) extra squares. This means that coaches should want to prioritize moving open players and standing prone models up first, as they will stay stationary or down if the there is a Turnover. Probability of success for cumulative Rush moves.īasic movement in the open is thankfully free of the probability of failure, making it and standing up one of the few things you can do with no risk of failure. These probabilities apply to a huge number of probabilities including passing, catching, dodging, picking up the ball, receiving a handoff, and landing after a player is tossed.īasic probability for characteristic tests. The good news is that, with a re-roll, no matter what you still might succeed 31% of the time. ![]() The bad news is that this means that there’s always a chance that any action could fail. A roll of 1 always fails, a roll of 6 always succeeds. Agility and Passing TestsĪgility and Passing tests in Blood Bowl are based on achieving a particular number with a d6 roll. Sometimes this occurs as a result of the opposition, other times it’s your own fault. In general Turnovers occur when a player ends up knocked over in some capacity, ends up off the pitch, or fails to maintain control of the ball. In Blood Bowl this means not only delaying the dreaded Turnover for as long as possible, but also ensuring that should a Turnover occur that your opponent will have as difficult a time succeeding on their turn as possible. At its core risk management is about two things reducing the probability of failure and reducing the consequence should something actually fail. Interpret the intercept \(b_i=b_0+b_1x_i\)- is often referred to as the " least squares regression line," or simply the " least squares line." It is also sometimes called the " estimated regression equation." Incidentally, note that in deriving the above formulas, we made no assumptions about the data other than that they follow some sort of linear trend.This week’s Hammer of Math goes to the realm of fantasy football and looks at one of Kevin’s favorite games Blood Bowl! We’ll take a look a the basics of this amazing game from Games Workshop and discuss the wonderful world of probability, risk management, and the fun that can be had in the newest edition.Īlqualonde Falcons – Elven Union Team – Painted by Jackalīlood Bowl is a game of risk management of carefully planning your actions in the hopes of ensuring success.Understand the concept of the least squares criterion.Distinguish between a deterministic relationship and a statistical relationship. ![]() Upon completion of this lesson, you should be able to: ![]()
0 Comments
![]() ![]() It is interesting that earlier Apple itself was very categorical about any attempts to customize the system. Previously, they were available on a separate screen to the left of the desktop, but now they can be placed interspersed with application icons. Also, now you can add widgets to the home screen, and you can also create your own widgets. Pixel perfect size of these icons - 50 × 50 px. Our collection of iOS icons follows Apple's guidelines. After 13 years of existence of the operating system, developers have allowed to change its appearance. IOS 14 introduces the ability to customize icons. To begin with you can use our clothing patterns and draw on top of their drawings. ![]() Shirts and pants: Unlike T-shirts, shirts and pants wrap around the body of the avatar, giving you more control over the design. To create a t-shirt, create an image (ideally 128 × 128 pixels) and then upload it to Roblox, as described below. The simplest (but most limited) design of clothing is a T-shirt, which is an image that is applied to the front of the bust of the avatar. To get help creating clothes, click here. While all Roblox players can buy T-shirts and pants in the Catalog, subscription accounts can create their own! They can keep their creations with them or even sell them to other players. While anyone can create a t-shirt for personal use, only subscription accounts can sell it to other players. Since anyone can download them, there are a lot of them, just look at the catalog or create your own by clicking here. T-shirts are images that anyone can upload and display on their avatar. ![]() ![]()
![]() ![]() It’s a bit daunting setting this up because I don’t want there to be any problems if I ever actually need to do the restore. ![]() When completed, click Next when it appears. Acronis will start the installation and a progress bar will be displayed. Acronis True Image for Western Digital will then display its installation screen. Image software from the Western Digital website to clone my old drive. Is that the case? Or is it fine as long as a WD drive is connected and somewhere ‘in the loop?’ Seems crazy if not. Open the unzipped folder and double click on the AcronisTrueImageWD file to install. 4) Load the free SSD vendor cloning SW (Acronis True Image for WD Edition for a. Acronis True Image for Western Digital will only backup files and folders. I read somewhere in researching (here maybe? Can’t find it now…) that if I try to restore my cloned drive from my WD Essential back to an internal that isn’t a WD drive, it won’t work. Windows 10 32-bit & 64-bit Acronis True Image WD Edition also lets you create a bootable CD-R/DVD-R that can back up and recover a disk/partition on a computer running any Intel- or AMD- based. Alas, I must: I have a 5-year-old WD My Passport formatted to MS-DOS (FAT32). One reason I found the Acronis software at all is because I suppose I should make a clone in case my drive fails. If I use the Acronis software, do I need the WD software installed at all, or can Acronis do all of the backup features of the WD software? I read the Acronis manual and it seems pretty inclusive, but again, I’m pretty ignorant here, so ease plays a factor. Once the Acronis True Image for Western Digital comes up, in the left hand column select ABOUT. Below are the instructions on how to obtain this information: Click on the Start Menu and Click Acronis True Image for Western Digital. I’m really new to this, and came across a couple of questions, so thought I should stop and ask before I even plug the thing in. In some cases our support team may request the Acronis True Image for Western Digital version and build numbers. ![]() I just bought a new WD Essential external drive that I want to use only for backing up my laptop’s internal. ![]() ![]() ![]() Though it is true that this media player can not support full HD video officially but it will surely support a big range of video formats as well as playbacks very smoothly. The download link above will download the 32 bit version of this software. It has also a system for controlling the settings of sounds and brightness. You can play your videos with the full resolution of it at any ratio that you want. There is a note that those filters are only available in the desktop version of this software. Additionally, there are also filters by which you can create a display background, you can add a logo to the video. Format Factory Format Factory for PC Windows (7/10/11), 32/64-bit is a multi-functional converter for converting any type of audio, video, and picture files. There are such common filters for videos as rotate, split, distort and etc. VLC Media Player Download for PC is a greatly handy free multimedia player for many audio and video formats, as well as many streaming procedures. You’ll also be able to extract a picture from a video without ruining the actual resolution of the picture. Download Linux (64-bit AppImage) Chrome OS (64-bit AppImage) OS X (64-bit DMG) Windows (64-bit Installer32-bit Installer) Thank you for downloading and. There is an option named “Zoom Effect” in this program which is for magnifying into the video track in the middle to play the video. ![]() VLC Media Player Customize your player Zoom Effect There are more than 380 modules in this Media Player, so it is very useful to have a modular design for this program. Cette affirmation est vraie pour la plupart. VLC Media Player naquit comme un projet académique en 1996 et actuellement cest un des meilleurs lecteurs multimédia pour PC, ou même peut-être le meilleur. The Design of the VLC Media Player is very standard as it will add plugins and modules for the file formats, codecs, and interfaces as well as streaming recent methods, and so on. Télécharger VLC Media Player Gratuitement. It can handle audio files more perfectly than video formats with player control and also a widget by which you will have control from the home screen. ![]() This software is much better with audio tracks. Welcome to VLC Media Player Better With Audio Files Additionally, you can also use it as a video editor tool. This player is also used for playing files and DVDs, CDs, and also different kinds of streaming protocols. VLC Media Player is a free multimedia player which is usually used for converting audio and videos. ![]() ![]() ![]() Our brains are hardwired to accept information when told engagingly, rather than spewing cold, hard facts.Īccording to Fast Company, “When reading straight data, only the language parts of our brains work to decode the meaning. And, in the United States, the campaign was credited with increasing sales by more than 2%, reversing more than 10 years of decline in Coke consumption. The campaign was a huge success, with more than 150 million personalized bottles sold. By putting customers’ names on their products, Coca-Cola created a personal connection with its audience and made its brand more relatable. Learning how to tell a brand story is possibly one of the most important skills marketers can have today.įor example, think about the success of Coca-Cola’s “Share a Coke” campaign. People connect with stories because they provide context, emotion, and empathy. What’s more effective is creating stories and a relatable connection with your audience. While these elements can be important, they can also overwhelm the consumer. Oftentimes, marketers throw facts, figures, features, and brand attributes at their target audience, trying to appeal to a customer’s rational side. Storytelling Makes Your Brand More Relatable The truth is, nothing moves people like a good story. It’s a method that should underlie every facet of your content marketing. Here’s the thing, storytelling isn’t just another useful tool in any content marketer’s toolkit. ![]() That’s how much storytelling truly means to people. Their final average markup value for their sample set was 2,700%.Īlthough the items held no intrinsic value – they were useless trinkets from thrift stores and garage sales – the stories proved their worth 2,700-fold.įor the buyers, they were paying more because of the story than for an actual physical object.They sold the items for a total of $3,613.They added fictional stories to each item and sold the products online.Rob and Joshua spent a total of $129 on 100 items.Then, they asked other writers, including journalists, mommy bloggers, and bestselling authors, to create backstories for each of their valueless Significant Objects. (Her husband Brian is also the amazing photographer behind my profile photo.) Here’s the story Michele shared:īack in 2009, two reporters – Rob Walker of The Washington Post and Joshua Glenn from The New York Times – created the Significant Objects Project with the belief that “stories are such a powerful driver of emotional value that their effect on any given object’s subjective value can actually be measured objectively.”įor the project, they purchased 100 insignificant objects like those you see here. So when I started writing Mean People Suck, I knew I wanted to include it. She shared this story with me a couple of years ago when we met over coffee. Michele Miller is a true content thought leader and chief storyteller at Magento. The results of it really shifted the way I viewed marketing. When I learned about the project, I was floored. It’s called the “Significant Objects Project.” There’s a little story about a research project I want to share with you to demonstrate the impact storytelling can have on marketing and product value perception. Marketing with stories makes your brand more relatable, creates an emotional connection, and gets your audience to act. The story should not be about your brand or product. ![]() Because of its ability to resonate deeply, you should incorporate storytelling into your content marketing.Storytelling is one of the most powerful methods available for getting results.Let’s take a closer look at why storytelling is so important and how you can elevate your brand with tips for great story-driven marketing. Through stories, the marketer builds an emotion-bridge from brand to customer that is far stronger and more compelling than traditional motivators such as price, extra features, or loyalty programs. It’s about making an experience they won’t forget, one that hits home with your audience and builds connections that go way deeper. It’s about crafting an aura around your brand that grabs your customers, stirs up their feelings, and gets them to take action.īut it’s even more than that. Storytelling isn’t just about pushing a product or service. And according to Edelman, 63% of consumers said they remembered a brand story when making a purchase decision. Not convinced? A recent survey shows that 92% of consumers want brands to make ads that feel like a story. ![]() ![]() ![]() Then if I said that it was co-written and directed by Taylor Sheridan, one of the best screenwriters working today who excels at taking muscular genres of old and providing uncommon depth and poetry, then you might say, "Why aren't we watching this right now?" Those Who Wish Me Dead, based on the book by Michael Koryta, is Sheridan's second directing effort after 2017's excellent Wind River, and while I would not classify it as a bad movie, it is easily Sheridan's weakest film to date. If I told you I had a movie where Angelina Jolie is on the run from a team of assassins and under the backdrop of a raging forest fire, you'd likely be intrigued. Now available to see in some theatres, streaming on HBO Max, and on-demand, I think Those Who Wish Me Dead could find a small audience who loves it. Still, everything surrounding these poor elements more than made up for them. It pretty much becomes a film about good guys and bad guys in a very generic way and I felt that significantly hurt the film. Overall, Those Who Wish Me Dead has a lot of great elements in terms of performances, tenseness, and overall visual style, but the film sort of sputters out, to be honest. It was well done, but the storytelling was too obvious at times. It was very obvious from the beginning what her arc would be throughout the film. I enjoy when a film places you in the present with a character and has you learn about their past as the film progresses, but I felt like Those Who Wish Me Dead jumped into Hannah's past far too quickly. This leads me to the overall structure of the film. Their motivations were lacklustre at best. There were scenes where it felt like they were being villainous for the sake of villainy and it didn't work for me. ![]() While they're both great actors, I found their storyline to be all over the place. Sadly, the film feels bogged down the most with the characters Jack (Aidan Gillen) and Patrick (Nicholas Hoult). Their back and forth dialogue brought a smile to my face and their dramatic moments worked just as well. His comradery with Jolie is what truly sold the movie for me. Some of the dialogue here felt generic at times too, so the fact that it had such a great cast definitely elevated the material.Īngelina Jolie delivers a very solid performance here, but the standout to me was young Finn Little as Connor. There were almost too many subplots here for the short runtime that it has, but it all worked in the end. Both now hiding from a looming threat and a forest fire on the horizon, it very quickly becomes a dramatic survival movie. Alone in the wilderness and just trying to find peace, she stumbles across a young boy who has just witnessed a murder. The film picks up with Hannah (Angelina Jolie), a hotshot survivalist who is struggling to cope with losses in her past. It has issues, but here's why I believe this film deserves some attention. While it may not have all the nuance that his previous outing did, his touch is still very much alive here. For that, I was very excited to see Those Who Wish Me Dead. Wind River was the first film that he both wrote and directed and it ended up being one of my favourite films of 2017. ![]() Regardless of the subject matter, I've become a sucker for any project that Taylor Sheridan (writer/director) is involved in. ![]() ![]() ![]() When you are done editing, tap Save. Learn more about advanced photo options. Tap on the photo to bring up editing screen where you can enhance, crop, and add filters. You have the option to edit your photo through your Twitter for iOS or Twitter for Android app before sending your message. Tap the photo icon to take a photo or record a video, or attach one from your device gallery.In addition to text, you can include a photo, video, or GIF via Direct Message.To send a Direct Message from Twitter for Android To remove yourself from the group conversation, tap Leave conversation.To report the group conversation, tap Report conversation.Additionally, you must be a participant in a group conversation to receive mention notifications for that conversation. Please note that, unless this feature is enabled, you will receive notifications when you are directly mentioned in a conversation, even if you have enabled the Snooze conversation feature. Drag the slider next to Snooze mentions to control whether you will receive notifications when you are mentioned in a group conversation.Drag the slider next to Snooze conversation to snooze notifications for 1 hour, 8 hours, 1 week, or Forever.Tap Add members to add people to the conversation.Note: Once you update the photo, you’ll have the option to Remove current photo, View current photo, Choose from library, or Take new photo. To change the photo, tap the camera icon in the photo to Choose from library or Take new photo. Tap Edit to update the group conversation profile photo and name.From within a group conversation, tap on the information icon to bring up a settings page.To quickly access the list of conversation participants, tap the profile photo of the group conversation from your inbox.Others in the conversation will still be able to see Direct Messages or conversations that you have deleted. When you delete a Direct Message or conversation (sent or received), it is deleted from your account only.To delete an entire conversation from your inbox, swipe left on the conversation and tap the trash can icon You can also delete an entire conversation by tapping the information icon and selecting Delete conversation from the Conversation info page.To delete a Direct Message, tap and hold the message and select Delete message from the menu that pops up.To delete a Direct Message or conversation: To send your message, tap the paper airplane icon.To include an animated GIF in your message, tap the GIF icon to search for and select a file from the media library.You have the option to edit your photo before sending your message. From the message compose bar, or the plus icon you can access the following options: In addition to text, you can include a photo, video, or GIF with your Direct Message.A group message can include up to 150 people. In the address box, enter the name(s) or of the people you wish to send a message to.Tap the message icon to create a new message.To send a Direct Message from Twitter for iOS To disable message requests, go to your Settings. You can accept the request to continue the conversation. These requests are kept separate from your other DMs until you accept them. *Note: For some people who create a new account on Twitter, your account settings may already be set to receive message requests from other people you don't follow. In both group and one-on-one conversations, you cannot be in a conversation with an account you block.You can send a Direct Message to these accounts if your account is Verified. Some accounts have enabled a setting to receive Direct Messages from Verified accounts.You can send a Direct Message to these accounts even if they don’t follow you. Some accounts, particularly businesses on Twitter, have enabled a setting to receive Direct Messages from anyone.Newly added participants won’t see the prior history of the conversation. In group conversations, anyone in the conversation can add other participants.Everyone in a group can see all messages, even if everyone doesn’t follow each other. Anyone in a conversation can send Direct Messages to the group. ![]() You have previously sent that person a Direct Message.They are Verified and you have opted in to receive Direct Messages from Verified users or.You have opted in to receive Direct Messages from anyone * or.Anyone you do not follow can send you a Direct Message if:.You can start a private conversation or create a group conversation with anyone who follows you. ![]() ![]() ![]() It’s where we communicate with others and create meaning. The throat chakra is the communication center of our body. Regular black obsidian has a strong association with the root chakra.īlue ray energy causes obsidian to jump up to the throat, stimulating this chakra throughout the day. Therefore, it is important that all people work towards balancing this system. ![]() It is possible for the gut to be the source of many emotional and physical problems. This will allow the stone to reach your subconscious and perform the deep work that you read about online.īlue obsidian is a stone that can balance the digestive system. While you’re sleeping, keep blue obsidian close by your head. It retains many of the same properties as regular black obsidian, so it can offer to ground. This stone is incredibly psychic and can be used to help you develop your psychic abilities and divination.ĭespite being blue-ray energy, this stone is an excellent grounding stone. This crystal can be used during meditation to help you reach levels of transcendence that were previously unattainable. This is because it isn’t the type of crystal that is abundant. It doesn’t take long for one of these obsidian deposits to be depleted. This is due to the inexplicable rarity of the stone, which drives up the price.īlue obsidian stone is being extracted from natural deposits in Greece and Morocco. It was clearly sent by God to have an impact on the world.īlue obsidian crystals can be made from manmade materials. This is why it is somewhat of an anomaly. It is evident that blue obsidian is formed under very specific conditions. It is slightly harder than regular glasses used to make various glass objects and windows.Īlthough it’s not clear why certain rare obsidian forms turn electrically blue, the best guess is that there are gas bubbles in the lava during cooling. It is formed when viscous volcanic lava cools very quickly, providing it is rich and low in the water. Obsidian, a silica-rich volcanic rock, is called. Obsidian in its blue form is a pale-blue rock that looks almost like a glass. There are some things that you should know about blue obsidian to make it part of your journey. This might be the missing crystal in your collection. Obsidian comes in many shades, including blue. Blue Aqua Obsidian Meaning Introduction. ![]() ![]() ![]() Why does the system use 150 GB of storage? There are at least two previous posts regarding the same "issue" (if in fact it is one!), but I'm not sure anyone has got to the bottom of it yet. The agent suggested reinstalling macOS Sierra, which I did, but it didn't solve the problem. ![]() Unfortunately Apple Support was not very helpful when I contacted them this afternoon. And I have no idea why it reports storage content accurately on my wife's Mac but not mine. ![]() I would like to be a huge fan of Optimized Storage, but this set-up of counting iTunes media as "system files" seems problematic. And I still don't have a separate iTunes entry. When I move things back into iTunes, they count again toward the System storage amount. (The Documents content jumped up dramatically because I copied my iTunes Library to the Desktop.) Unfortunately, I haven't found a way to establish the separate entry for iTunes in this window. Now the System files are down around 8 GB. After I did that, my Storage report looked like this: As an experiment, I copied then deleted my entire iTunes Library from within iTunes. I could reach the iTunes folder through Documents on the left side, but the contents of the folder were grayed out. I also noticed that, unlike on my wife's MacBook Pro, I had no individual listing for iTunes. In a nutshell: When I go to "About This Mac > Storage" the System files were taking up a whopping 90+ GB of my hard drive. I've encountered a problem on my brand new MacBook, but haven't been able to find a solution after working on it for most of today. ![]() |
AuthorWrite something about yourself. No need to be fancy, just an overview. ArchivesCategories |